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Adrian Salustri's avatar

Hi, I appreciate the article. I think this persepctive is helpful for urban planning; We say iphone's are well designed because toddlers can use them, so the same can be said of a city. It's well designed if a toddler can navigate alone.

However, I think your general stance that childhood freedom is ideal, and people who call CPS on children outside are 'ridiculous' is wrong.

You argue that the abduction rate in America (350 children/year kidnapped by strangers) is too low to justify our extreme caution, and the American and Japanese rates are close enough to not account for the difference in parent behavior.

I'll just bite the bullet here. 350 children/year is a very large number considering how high the stakes are. Go to the "list of kidnappings' wikipage and sort by age. Kids are abducted, raped, tortured and murdered often enough. From an EV perspective, getting kidnapped is so terrible that the small proablilty is dominiated by the huge negative value.

It more plausible that the Japanese system actually is worse wrt child safety (the abduction rate is higher after all) because they are not accoutning for the tail risk properly and letting their kids roam.

We should focus on teaching kids independence whilst having full supervision, not opine for the good ol' days when kids were 'free'.

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